
AI Demand Bottleneck Could Cap Long-Run Growth, BIS Model Warns
A BIS model says transformative AI could lift growth to 5.5%, but weaker consumer demand may instead push it below 2%.

A BIS model says transformative AI could lift growth to 5.5%, but weaker consumer demand may instead push it below 2%.

BIS transaction data shows offshore dollar demand quickly reaches domestic currency markets despite capital controls and trading restrictions.

The Federal Reserve now tracks private credit separately, showing $1.5 trillion in loans to U.S. businesses and a rapidly expanding nonbank market.

Federal Reserve research shows why government bonds fell with stocks during March’s risk-off episode as inflation weakened their hedge.

Mastercard reports third-quarter results October 29. Cross-border volume, value-added services and customer incentives are the key investor tests.

Federal Reserve research says interbank fed funds trades can reveal liquidity pressures that aggregate reserve totals may miss.

Amazon reports third-quarter results on October 29. Investors will watch AWS growth, retail margins, AI spending and sales guidance.

The U.S. third-quarter GDP advance estimate arrives October 29. Markets will focus on private demand, inflation and the risk of later revisions.

Apple reports fiscal Q4 results on November 2. Investors will watch iPhone demand, Services growth, China revenue and gross margin.

Microsoft reports fiscal Q1 results on October 28. Azure growth, AI infrastructure spending, cloud margins and guidance lead the watchlist.